Open-source reporting indicates Myanmar's war remains active and air-heavy despite falling international attention. Resistance forces and ethnic armies hold an estimated 42% of territory. Junta and resistance lines fragment by township, and the military took Tagaung in March 2026 even as it lost ground elsewhere.
The sharpest trend is aerial. Per open-source tracking, junta air and drone strikes have risen from 134 in the first year after the 2021 coup to over 3,300 across 2025-2026, with civilian deaths from airstrikes alone exceeding 3,800. Around 5.2 million people are displaced, a crisis compounded by the March 2025 earthquake.
For operators, Myanmar is a fragmented, no-clear-front environment. Control flips by district, junta airstrikes are the leading lethal threat in contested zones, and overland movement crosses unpredictable checkpoints run by competing armed actors. Treat conflict areas as access-controlled, lean on vetted local knowledge for any movement, and assume air-threat exposure anywhere near active front lines.
