Latest · Threat Level
Myanmar brief: air war intensifies as the front fragments
The civil war has slipped down the global agenda but not in intensity. Airstrikes have surged and the map stays fractured between junta and resistance.
Listen13 June 2026
Intelligence Desk
Threat Level
Current worldwide threat levels and high-risk zones — which regions and countries are elevated, why, and what it means on the ground for operators.
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Somalia: al-Shabaab counteroffensive keeps Mogadishu on alert
Al-Shabaab's 2025 counteroffensive reversed government gains and the group still mounts complex attacks in the capital. VBIEDs and hotel assaults remain the defining threat.
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Eastern DRC: M23 holds Goma as fighting persists
M23 still controls Goma and Bukavu after its 2025 offensive. Talks are progressing but the ground stays volatile, with fresh clashes and FARDC drone strikes near Goma.
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Israel, Gaza and the West Bank: fragile ceasefires, live missile risk
Most of Israel is back on the FCDO's lower-risk footing, but the ceasefires are shaky and aerial attack risk persists. Gaza and the northern West Bank stay no-go.
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Sudan: RSF consolidates Darfur after El Fasher falls
With El Fasher taken in late 2025, the RSF now dominates Darfur. Atrocity reporting, a collapsed health system and mass displacement make this one of the highest-risk environments on the map.
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Ukraine: nationwide strike risk holds as front grinds
The front has settled into attrition, but the deep-strike threat is the highest it has been. Russia fired a record 7,241 long-range drones in May 2026. No part of the country is out of range.
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Brief — Burkina Faso: whole-country do-not-travel holds
The FCDO advises against all travel to Burkina Faso on terrorism, kidnap and instability. A snapshot for any team weighing West Africa exposure.
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Red Sea and Gulf of Aden: Houthi threat back to elevated after June strikes
After months of relative quiet, Houthi forces struck two commercial vessels in the Gulf of Aden in early June. Targeting now reaches beyond flag state to a ship operator's port history.
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Haiti: gangs hold most of the capital and the FCDO advises against all travel
Armed groups control the overwhelming majority of Port-au-Prince. With no British consular staff in-country and a new gang-suppression force not yet at strength, Haiti remains a hard no for routine travel.
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Mali: JNIM fuel blockade keeps the country at the top of the do-not-travel list
An al-Qaeda-affiliated siege on Mali's fuel supply routes has the FCDO advising against all travel to the whole country. Any movement outside Bamako is a planned operation, not a drive.
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