The United States and Iran have agreed a memorandum of understanding to end the war that began on 28 February, announced on Sunday 14 June by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and confirmed by President Trump on Truth Social. Sharif said the deal declares "the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon."
What's in it: a ceasefire in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and the lifting of the US naval blockade. Trump said he had authorised "the toll free opening of the Strait of Hormuz" and the removal of the blockade. Formal signing is set for Friday 19 June in Switzerland, with roughly 60 days of technical talks on Iran's nuclear programme to follow.
The caveat operators need: this is a memorandum, not yet a signed treaty, and it is already under strain. Israel struck Beirut's Dahiyeh on 14 June, killing three; Trump said the attack "should not have happened." Netanyahu has told Trump that Israel will not withdraw from Lebanon and considers itself unbound by the deal's Lebanon provisions.
Operator implication: plan for a de-escalation that is real but fragile. A Hormuz reopening should ease the shipping and aviation picture across the Gulf over the coming days, but do not treat the eastern Mediterranean as benign yet — the Lebanon track is the weak point, and an Israeli strike or a Hezbollah response can reverse the trend inside a single news cycle. Keep movement plans for principals in Lebanon, northern Israel and the Gulf provisional, hold contingency for renewed airspace closures, and watch the Friday signing as the real confirmation point, not the announcement.
