**United Kingdom — SEVERE (holding).** JTAC raised the UK level to SEVERE on 30 April, and it still stands. SEVERE means an attack is highly likely. MI5 cites a rising Islamist and Extreme Right-Wing threat from UK-based individuals and small groups, plus a sustained tempo of state-linked threats, particularly to Jewish and Israeli individuals and institutions. Public posture: stay alert but not alarmed, report concerns via ACT (Action Counters Terrorism), and call 999 for anything live.
**Iran — do not travel.** The FCDO advises against all travel to Iran. British and British-Iranian dual nationals face a significant risk of arrest, questioning and detention, and UK consular support on the ground is extremely limited. The US holds Iran at Level 4: Do Not Travel and maintains a Worldwide Caution for citizens abroad.
**Gulf & Strait of Hormuz — sharp re-escalation.** The 17 June ceasefire is fraying. Over 27–29 June, drones struck two ships near the strait, the US struck Iranian military sites along it, and Iran fired missiles and drones at US installations in Kuwait and Bahrain. Each side blames the other, and Iran has skipped scheduled talks. Shipping and Gulf airspace risk is volatile and can spike with little warning.
**For operators:** hold a heightened posture for UK principals while SEVERE stands — surveillance detection, venue recces, parcel and mail screening, and rehearsed evacuation. Treat Iran as no-go. For Gulf movements, build real contingency: flexible routing around Hormuz, airspace-closure fallbacks, vetted ground support, and comms plans that survive a short-notice flare-up.
